Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UNCA -170 PRES +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +2 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -6.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+64.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -5.1 (-3.1) | 132.9 (+61.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -6.6 (-4.6) | 133.6 (+60.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -6.2 (-4.2) | 134.9 (+59.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -6.4 (-4.4) | 134.9 (+59.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PRES 58 – 57 UNCA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PRES 71 – 70 UNCA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | PRES 64 – 59 UNCA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCA 96 – 87 PRES |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNCA 71 – 69 PRES |
Game Analysis
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