Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +270 APSU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +12 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | APSU -8.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -7.7 (-4.3) | 124.3 (-8.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -7.6 (-4.4) | 126.1 (-10.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -7.8 (-4.2) | 124.9 (-8.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -8.9 (-3.1) | 125.0 (-9.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2022 | APSU 62 – 54 EIU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | EIU 76 – 69 APSU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | APSU 74 – 71 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -18.0 (#356) | -6.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#354) | -1.25 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.74 (#353) | -1.58 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#356) | 0.458 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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