Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | APSU -300 EIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | APSU -9.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -8.9 (-15.9) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -9.6 (-16.6) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -9.1 (-16.1) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -9.5 (-16.5) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | APSU 64 – 52 EIU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | APSU 62 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | APSU 74 – 71 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#197) | -9.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#223) | -1.82 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#237) | -2.58 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#192) | 0.424 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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