Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | EIU -115 APSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -5.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -4.0 (-7.0) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -4.9 (-7.9) | 147.9 (-2.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -4.6 (-7.6) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.7 (-7.7) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | APSU 64 – 52 EIU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | APSU 62 – 54 EIU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | EIU 76 – 69 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#226) | -5.7 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#205) | -0.73 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#198) | -1.55 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#228) | 0.428 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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