Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -11.5 (-3.5) | 128.8 (-12.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -10.9 (-2.9) | 129.9 (-13.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -10.2 (-2.2) | 128.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -10.3 (-2.3) | 128.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | APSU 64 – 52 EIU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | EIU 76 – 69 APSU |
| Jan 9, 2021 | APSU 74 – 71 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#265) | -17.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#279) | -3.04 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#280) | -3.59 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#248) | 0.360 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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