Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -650 PORT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +13 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -11.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+37.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -11.0 (+2.0) | 157.4 (+33.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.6 (+2.4) | 154.7 (+36.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -10.5 (+2.5) | 155.5 (+35.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.2 (+1.8) | 156.3 (+34.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SCU 92 – 85 PORT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SCU 97 – 50 PORT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | PORT 80 – 75 SCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SCU 101 – 86 PORT |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SCU 103 – 84 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#76) | -1.4 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#70) | 0.17 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#68) | 0.09 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#80) | 0.495 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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