Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
| Money | LIU -1100 FDU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -13.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -10.1 (-3.1) | 156.1 (+4.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -11.7 (-4.7) | 153.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -11.6 (-4.6) | 155.2 (+5.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -11.5 (-4.5) | 155.6 (+5.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#240) | -14.7 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#250) | -2.87 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#244) | -3.46 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#187) | 0.390 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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