Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SYR +270 DUKE -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +25 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -7.3 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -4.7 (-20.3) | 152.9 (+16.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -4.5 (-20.5) | 150.1 (+18.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -5.5 (-19.5) | 152.6 (+16.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -4.7 (-20.3) | 152.7 (+16.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | DUKE 101 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | DUKE 83 – 54 SYR |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DUKE 86 – 66 SYR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DUKE 77 – 55 SYR |
| Mar 10, 2022 | DUKE 88 – 79 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#74) | 17.8 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | 3.10 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#99) | 4.47 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#105) | 0.624 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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