Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -111 DUKE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +22 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -1.9 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -1.1 (-20.9) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -2.6 (-19.4) | 136.2 (-4.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -1.1 (-20.9) | 137.8 (-5.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -1.0 (-21.0) | 139.1 (-7.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | DUKE 101 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | DUKE 83 – 54 SYR |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DUKE 86 – 66 SYR |
| Mar 10, 2022 | DUKE 88 – 79 SYR |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DUKE 97 – 72 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#95) | 10.9 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#92) | 2.21 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#83) | 2.60 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#116) | 0.605 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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