Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DUKE -4000 SYR +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +37 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -20.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -19.5 (+17.5) | 142.6 (+22.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -18.0 (+19.0) | 143.2 (+21.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -17.0 (+20.0) | 140.4 (+24.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -18.4 (+18.6) | 141.8 (+23.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | DUKE 83 – 54 SYR |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DUKE 86 – 66 SYR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DUKE 77 – 55 SYR |
| Mar 10, 2022 | DUKE 88 – 79 SYR |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DUKE 97 – 72 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-3 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 10-1 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 26.6 (#2) | 9.0 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#3) | 1.45 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.22 (#2) | 1.92 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#2) | 0.543 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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