Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +1300 DUKE -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +29 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -19.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -13.8 (-15.2) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -15.3 (-13.7) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -16.8 (-12.2) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -19.2 (-9.8) | 141.9 (-4.9) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | DUKE 101 – 64 SYR |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DUKE 86 – 66 SYR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DUKE 77 – 55 SYR |
| Mar 10, 2022 | DUKE 88 – 79 SYR |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DUKE 97 – 72 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 19-1 |
| Home | 11-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 10-1 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#125) | 25.3 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#125) | 4.19 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#115) | 5.47 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#134) | 0.659 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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