Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DUKE -1000 SYR +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +20 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -13.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -11.2 (+8.8) | 152.3 (-0.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -11.7 (+8.3) | 150.7 (+1.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -11.9 (+8.1) | 150.5 (+1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -11.1 (+8.9) | 150.5 (+1.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | DUKE 101 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | DUKE 83 – 54 SYR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DUKE 77 – 55 SYR |
| Mar 10, 2022 | DUKE 88 – 79 SYR |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DUKE 97 – 72 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#10) | 6.9 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#57) | 2.00 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#47) | 2.42 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#69) | 0.633 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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