Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -10.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -9.3 (-0.3) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -7.8 (+1.2) | 153.1 (+13.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -9.7 (-0.7) | 157.9 (+9.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -8.8 (+0.2) | 156.9 (+10.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | DUKE 101 – 64 SYR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | DUKE 83 – 54 SYR |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DUKE 86 – 66 SYR |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DUKE 77 – 55 SYR |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DUKE 97 – 72 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#8) | 8.0 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#16) | 0.91 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#7) | 1.23 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#19) | 0.529 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.