Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | ALA -700 SC +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -10.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -10.5 (+8.5) | 155.8 (+5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -10.1 (+8.9) | 154.9 (+6.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -9.8 (+9.2) | 156.2 (+4.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -9.6 (+9.4) | 152.2 (+8.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | ALA 89 – 75 SC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ALA 88 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ALA 74 – 47 SC |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ALA 78 – 76 SC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ALA 81 – 78 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#20) | 6.5 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#27) | 1.60 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#23) | 1.63 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#5) | 0.566 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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