Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SC +800 ALA -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -22.7 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -12.1 (+10.1) | 153.5 (+0.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -15.5 (+13.5) | 150.5 (+3.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -17.4 (+15.4) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -17.4 (+15.4) | 150.7 (+3.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | ALA 89 – 75 SC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ALA 88 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ALA 74 – 47 SC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ALA 90 – 71 SC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ALA 81 – 78 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#247) | 21.7 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#182) | 3.46 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#203) | 4.01 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#227) | 0.668 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 44.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 41.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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