Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 170.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -2100 SC +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +14 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -17.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -14.9 (-0.9) | 166.1 (-2.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -16.8 (-2.8) | 164.2 (-0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -18.1 (-4.1) | 165.6 (-1.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -17.4 (-3.4) | 165.9 (-1.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | ALA 88 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ALA 74 – 47 SC |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ALA 78 – 76 SC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ALA 90 – 71 SC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ALA 81 – 78 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#17) | 4.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#21) | 0.32 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.14 (#20) | 0.84 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#10) | 0.482 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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