Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SC +500 ALA -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +20 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -10.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -8.6 (-11.4) | 155.3 (+0.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -7.5 (-12.5) | 161.4 (-5.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -8.7 (-11.3) | 156.5 (-0.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -7.3 (-12.7) | 156.8 (-0.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | ALA 89 – 75 SC |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ALA 74 – 47 SC |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ALA 78 – 76 SC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ALA 90 – 71 SC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ALA 81 – 78 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 90.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#91) | 20.2 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#79) | 3.84 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#81) | 5.32 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#74) | 0.704 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 45.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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