Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SC +275 ALA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -10.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -7.1 (+4.1) | 155.7 (+3.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -5.9 (+2.9) | 152.1 (+6.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -7.0 (+4.0) | 151.8 (+7.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -6.9 (+3.9) | 151.5 (+7.5) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | ALA 89 – 75 SC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ALA 88 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ALA 74 – 47 SC |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ALA 78 – 76 SC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ALA 90 – 71 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 26-7 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 3-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#105) | 17.5 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | 2.68 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#111) | 3.55 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#119) | 0.641 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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