Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | ALA -700 SC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +27 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -16.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -13.1 (+13.9) | 149.8 (-28.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -13.7 (+13.3) | 150.6 (-29.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.2 (+14.8) | 151.4 (-30.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -12.2 (+14.8) | 152.2 (-31.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | ALA 89 – 75 SC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | ALA 88 – 68 SC |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ALA 78 – 76 SC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ALA 90 – 71 SC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ALA 81 – 78 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#5) | 8.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#52) | 3.49 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#46) | 4.54 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#29) | 0.616 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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