They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Horizon League · The Jungle · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread GB -6.0 Away covered
O/U 118.5 Under
Money IUIN +210 / GB -260
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual GB +26 108 Lost
Massey GB -5.7 (-20.3) — —
Massey Totals — 111.9 (-3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GB -5.9 (-20.1) 118.0 (-10.0) 18% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GB -5.0 (-21.0) 122.6 (-14.6) 27% ✓
Baseline ML GB -4.8 (-21.2) 119.5 (-11.5) 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GB -8.8 (-17.2) 119.9 (-11.9) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 GB 75 – 59 IUIN
Dec 11, 2025 GB 85 – 75 IUIN
Jan 23, 2025 IUIN 86 – 77 GB
Dec 4, 2024 IUIN 84 – 75 GB
Feb 1, 2024 GB 79 – 56 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN GB
Overall 3-26 5-25
Conference 1-16 4-16
Home 2-11 4-9
Away 1-13 1-13
Neutral 0-2 0-3
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 51.3 61.2
Avg Pts Against 68.4 69.7
Massey -20.8 (#359) -12.3 (#335)
Bradley-Terry -4.44 (#357) -3.38 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.11 (#357) -3.85 (#354)
RPI 0.337 (#359) 0.375 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN GB
FG% 37.2% 41.1%
3PT% 29.0% 28.3%
REB / G 30.3 29.7
OREB / G 10.1 8.8
AST / TO 0.62 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.2% 46.0%
TOV% 25.7% 19.7%
ORB% 30.0% 26.6%
FT Rate 17.6% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 17.8%
DRB% 66.5% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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