Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -320 SIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -6.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.5 (-6.5) | 128.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.8 (-4.8) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -6.4 (-4.4) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -6.0 (-4.0) | 131.3 (-9.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 61.6 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#85) | 2.9 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | -0.10 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#109) | 0.08 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#116) | 0.484 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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