Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
Hartford Hawks
83 – 62
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Chase Arena · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread HART -8.0 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money HART -400 / NJIT +310
Model Predictions
Spread Total HART win
Actual HART +21 145 Won
Massey HART -6.0 (+15.0) — —
Massey Totals — 137.5 (+7.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HART -4.3 (+16.7) 139.7 (+5.3) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HART -4.4 (+16.6) 138.5 (+6.5) 68% ✓
Baseline ML HART -4.4 (+16.6) 140.5 (+4.5) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HART -4.3 (+16.7) 140.5 (+4.5) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2022 HART 65 – 49 NJIT
Feb 14, 2021 HART 75 – 61 NJIT
Feb 13, 2021 NJIT 67 – 57 HART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HART NJIT
Overall 12-20 11-18
Conference 9-9 6-12
Home 7-5 6-8
Away 5-13 5-10
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 69.8 62.5
Avg Pts Against 72.2 71.0
Massey -7.3 (#291) -10.6 (#323)
Bradley-Terry -1.73 (#308) -1.63 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.23 (#316) -2.28 (#319)
RPI 0.439 (#291) 0.426 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors HART NJIT
FG% 45.5% 40.5%
3PT% 36.6% 32.5%
REB / G 32.1 34.8
OREB / G 7.7 8.3
AST / TO 1.02 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 46.3%
TOV% 18.0% 18.9%
ORB% 23.6% 23.4%
FT Rate 18.9% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 16.8%
DRB% 71.8% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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