They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Hartford Hawks
57 – 67
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Chase Arena · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HART -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money HART -138 / NJIT +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total HART win
Actual NJIT +10 124 Lost
Massey HART -3.6 (-13.6) — —
Massey Totals — 133.1 (-9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HART -2.9 (-12.9) 134.2 (-10.2) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HART -2.1 (-12.1) 133.8 (-9.8) 64% ✗
Baseline ML HART -2.5 (-12.5) 133.7 (-9.7) 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HART -2.5 (-12.5) 134.4 (-10.4) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2022 HART 83 – 62 NJIT
Feb 13, 2022 HART 65 – 49 NJIT
Feb 14, 2021 HART 75 – 61 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HART NJIT
Overall 15-9 7-12
Conference 8-6 6-10
Home 10-1 3-5
Away 5-6 4-6
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 65.4 66.1
Avg Pts Against 63.9 70.2
Massey -2.4 (#204) -3.4 (#221)
Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#189) -0.99 (#248)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#194) -1.25 (#253)
RPI 0.510 (#151) 0.439 (#264)
Shooting & Four Factors HART NJIT
FG% 41.8% 40.6%
3PT% 31.7% 32.3%
REB / G 33.4 32.4
OREB / G 8.5 9.1
AST / TO 0.83 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 46.2%
TOV% 19.0% 15.7%
ORB% 24.7% 24.3%
FT Rate 19.5% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 20.1%
DRB% 69.9% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 15.6% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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