What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Hartford Hawks
75 – 61
FINAL Conference
NJIT Highlanders
America East Conference · Chase Arena · February 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread HART -1.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money HART -120 / NJIT +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total HART win
Actual HART +14 136 Won
Massey HART -2.2 (+11.8) — —
Massey Totals — 131.3 (+4.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HART -1.9 (+12.1) 131.6 (+4.4) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HART -1.9 (+12.1) 129.3 (+6.7) 59% ✓
Baseline ML HART -1.9 (+12.1) 130.5 (+5.5) 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HART -1.9 (+12.1) 130.6 (+5.4) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2022 HART 83 – 62 NJIT
Feb 13, 2022 HART 65 – 49 NJIT
Feb 13, 2021 NJIT 67 – 57 HART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HART NJIT
Overall 15-9 7-12
Conference 8-6 6-10
Home 10-1 3-5
Away 5-6 4-6
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 65.4 66.1
Avg Pts Against 63.9 70.2
Massey -3.0 (#212) -2.6 (#205)
Bradley-Terry -0.43 (#203) -0.70 (#228)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#204) -0.90 (#229)
RPI 0.494 (#184) 0.464 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors HART NJIT
FG% 41.5% 41.2%
3PT% 31.1% 32.8%
REB / G 33.4 32.2
OREB / G 8.7 8.7
AST / TO 0.84 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 46.9%
TOV% 19.3% 16.1%
ORB% 25.2% 23.9%
FT Rate 18.9% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 20.5%
DRB% 70.5% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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