Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | GRAM -220 FAMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -4.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.3 (-9.3) | 133.4 (+18.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.5 (-9.5) | 134.3 (+17.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.4 (-9.4) | 134.6 (+17.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.3 (-9.3) | 136.8 (+15.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#302) | -9.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#281) | -1.59 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#282) | -2.31 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#255) | 0.441 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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