Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | UAPB -190 MVSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +14 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | UAPB -6.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -4.7 (+9.3) | 150.6 (+21.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -5.0 (+9.0) | 150.1 (+21.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -5.0 (+9.0) | 151.8 (+20.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -3.9 (+10.1) | 153.5 (+18.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MVSU 70 – 69 UAPB |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UAPB 78 – 70 MVSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UAPB 83 – 58 MVSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MVSU 79 – 76 UAPB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UAPB 78 – 69 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 2-16 |
| Home | 5-7 | 0-11 |
| Away | 2-17 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 83.0 |
| Massey | -16.1 (#355) | -19.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#351) | -3.84 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#351) | -4.45 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#338) | 0.352 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.