Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | XAV -200 HALL +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +16 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | XAV -3.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -3.6 (-19.6) | 145.2 (+2.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -3.7 (-19.7) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -3.8 (-19.8) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -4.3 (-20.3) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 11-8 |
| Home | 16-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#25) | 11.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#33) | 2.31 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#34) | 2.78 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#42) | 0.580 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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