Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | XAV -600 HALL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | XAV -15.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -11.4 (+10.6) | 133.5 (+32.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -13.3 (+8.7) | 137.8 (+28.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -12.0 (+10.0) | 138.8 (+27.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -12.7 (+9.3) | 136.7 (+29.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
| Dec 23, 2023 | XAV 74 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-11 |
| Away | 5-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#53) | -0.9 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#84) | -0.62 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#72) | -0.85 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.475 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.