Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | XAV -178 HALL +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | XAV -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -4.9 (+15.1) | 144.4 (-16.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -4.9 (+15.1) | 143.8 (-15.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -5.2 (+14.8) | 142.8 (-14.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -4.7 (+15.3) | 144.1 (-16.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#62) | 6.8 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#146) | 0.96 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#109) | 1.40 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#91) | 0.557 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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