Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | XAV +105 HALL -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -1.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.4 (-7.6) | 141.8 (+3.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -0.5 (-9.5) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -1.2 (-7.8) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.8 (-8.2) | 138.1 (+6.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
| Dec 23, 2023 | XAV 74 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#98) | 10.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#91) | 1.79 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#83) | 2.36 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#139) | 0.561 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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