I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Seton Hall Pirates
88 70
FINAL Conference
Xavier Musketeers
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -3.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money HALL -163 / XAV +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +18 158 Won
Massey HALL -0.6 (+17.4)
Massey Totals 144.7 (+13.3)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML HALL -1.8 (+16.2) 141.4 (+16.6) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -2.1 (+15.9) 142.2 (+15.8) 60%
Baseline ML HALL -1.9 (+16.1) 142.3 (+15.7) 61%
Baseline Plus ML HALL -1.6 (+16.4) 141.9 (+16.1) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 HALL 7768 XAV
Jan 29, 2026 HALL 8668 XAV
Feb 23, 2025 XAV 7366 HALL
Dec 31, 2024 XAV 9472 HALL
Dec 23, 2023 XAV 7454 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL XAV
Overall 25-12 16-18
Conference 13-7 9-11
Home 17-4 11-7
Away 5-6 3-9
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W5 L2
Avg Pts For 73.8 75.9
Avg Pts Against 69.9 74.6
Massey 8.1 (#74) 10.9 (#46)
Bradley-Terry 1.39 (#73) 1.26 (#84)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#69) 2.07 (#59)
RPI 0.549 (#96) 0.556 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL XAV
FG% 44.9% 43.4%
3PT% 31.8% 34.6%
REB / G 38.5 39.4
OREB / G 13.0 12.3
AST / TO 0.97 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 49.1%
TOV% 19.4% 16.3%
ORB% 37.5% 33.0%
FT Rate 24.3% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.1%
DRB% 70.9% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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