Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -163 XAV +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -0.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.6 (+16.4) | 141.9 (+16.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -1.8 (+16.2) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.1 (+15.9) | 142.2 (+15.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.9 (+16.1) | 142.3 (+15.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Dec 23, 2023 | XAV 74 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#74) | 10.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#73) | 1.26 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#69) | 2.07 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#96) | 0.556 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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