Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +400 XAV -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | XAV -11.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -9.6 (+2.6) | 135.9 (+3.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -11.2 (+4.2) | 136.6 (+2.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -10.9 (+3.9) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -11.4 (+4.4) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
| Dec 23, 2023 | XAV 74 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-11 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | 12.2 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#244) | 1.64 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#244) | 2.25 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#286) | 0.552 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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