Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -258 XAV +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +18 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -7.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -5.5 (+12.5) | 137.1 (+16.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -5.2 (+12.8) | 135.2 (+18.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -6.4 (+11.6) | 136.1 (+17.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -6.2 (+11.8) | 136.4 (+17.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
| Dec 23, 2023 | XAV 74 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#55) | 6.1 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#54) | 1.04 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#58) | 1.68 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#58) | 0.538 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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