What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · February 26, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -10.0 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money SIUE +400 / MORE -550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +7 147 Won
Massey MORE -7.8 (+14.8) — —
Massey Totals — 133.0 (+14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -6.6 (+13.6) 133.9 (+13.1) 29% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -7.1 (+14.1) 134.7 (+12.3) 23% ✗
Baseline ML MORE -7.0 (+14.0) 135.0 (+12.0) 26% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MORE -7.1 (+14.1) 134.8 (+12.2) 29% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 MORE 67 – 65 SIUE
Jan 3, 2026 MORE 73 – 72 SIUE
Feb 21, 2025 SIUE 80 – 62 MORE
Jan 25, 2025 SIUE 65 – 54 MORE
Mar 8, 2024 MORE 78 – 63 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE MORE
Overall 11-21 23-11
Conference 5-13 13-5
Home 8-5 12-2
Away 3-13 8-8
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.7 68.6
Avg Pts Against 72.4 64.4
Massey -7.8 (#296) 2.8 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -2.00 (#322) 0.77 (#117)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.52 (#327) 0.91 (#117)
RPI 0.424 (#311) 0.539 (#99)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE MORE
FG% 41.5% 45.8%
3PT% 29.0% 35.7%
REB / G 36.2 36.0
OREB / G 11.2 10.0
AST / TO 0.79 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.6% 53.0%
TOV% 22.2% 20.8%
ORB% 31.0% 31.0%
FT Rate 23.7% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 17.4%
DRB% 69.8% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 15.6%

Game Analysis

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