Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ECU -125 TLSA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -0.7 (+4.3) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -2.3 (+2.7) | 140.9 (-17.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -1.7 (+3.3) | 141.2 (-18.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -1.7 (+3.3) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 66 ECU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ECU 85 – 76 TLSA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ECU 84 – 79 TLSA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ECU 62 – 57 TLSA |
| Feb 22, 2023 | ECU 62 – 60 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | 0.7 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | -0.53 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | -0.28 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#198) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.