Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -160 AUB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -2.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.3 (+0.7) | 142.0 (-13.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -3.4 (+1.6) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.0 (+1.0) | 144.5 (-15.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.1 (+0.9) | 145.2 (-16.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 16-0 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#8) | 18.3 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#14) | 3.56 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#14) | 4.54 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#11) | 0.655 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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