Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -190 SPU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -5.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.0 (-9.0) | 131.0 (+4.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -4.8 (-9.8) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -5.2 (-10.2) | 132.4 (+2.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -5.6 (-10.6) | 131.9 (+3.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2022 | SPU 60 – 54 MONM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SPU 67 – 62 MONM |
| Dec 19, 2020 | SPU 78 – 76 MONM |
| Dec 18, 2020 | MONM 78 – 76 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#107) | -0.13 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#113) | -0.14 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#63) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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