Betting Lines
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MONM +110 SPU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -0.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.3 (-0.7) | 145.3 (+8.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -1.3 (-0.7) | 147.7 (+6.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -1.6 (-0.4) | 148.3 (+5.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.1 (+0.1) | 149.3 (+4.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2022 | SPU 60 – 54 MONM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SPU 70 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SPU 67 – 62 MONM |
| Dec 18, 2020 | MONM 78 – 76 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 61.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#251) | -0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#221) | -0.17 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#252) | 0.19 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#174) | 0.466 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 48.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 57.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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