Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -7.0 (+12.0) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -9.0 (+14.0) | 135.1 (-6.1) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -9.3 (+14.3) | 136.9 (-7.9) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.9 (+12.9) | 137.5 (-8.5) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2022 | SPU 60 – 54 MONM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SPU 70 – 65 MONM |
| Dec 19, 2020 | SPU 78 – 76 MONM |
| Dec 18, 2020 | MONM 78 – 76 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#252) | 8.0 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#313) | 1.85 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#312) | 2.37 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#271) | 0.594 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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