Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -140 MONM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +6 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.8 (+4.2) | 126.4 (-12.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -2.0 (+4.0) | 128.6 (-14.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.3 (+3.7) | 128.5 (-14.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -1.6 (+4.4) | 128.7 (-14.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | SPU 70 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SPU 67 – 62 MONM |
| Dec 19, 2020 | SPU 78 – 76 MONM |
| Dec 18, 2020 | MONM 78 – 76 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | 0.61 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | 0.58 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#86) | 0.555 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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