Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | NWST +105 NOLA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +10 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -5.2 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.0 (+13.0) | 156.0 (+8.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -4.7 (+14.7) | 157.1 (+6.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -4.7 (+14.7) | 156.6 (+7.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -4.9 (+14.9) | 157.2 (+6.8) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#333) | -4.2 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#341) | -0.72 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#333) | -0.81 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#289) | 0.477 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.