Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | URI -900 DUQ +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | URI -12.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -9.9 (+6.1) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -9.5 (+6.5) | 129.2 (-5.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -10.0 (+6.0) | 130.0 (-6.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -10.0 (+6.0) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 1-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -6.1 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | -1.19 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#146) | -1.27 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#152) | 0.439 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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