Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -170 JAX +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -1.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.3 (+5.7) | 138.9 (+6.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.4 (+5.6) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -1.1 (+5.9) | 138.9 (+6.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.3 (+6.7) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FGCU 86 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FGCU 68 – 49 JAX |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FGCU 72 – 56 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 79 JAX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FGCU 59 – 57 JAX |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.