Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | EVAN +700 MOST -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -16.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -14.6 (+5.6) | 137.9 (+29.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -14.3 (+5.3) | 136.9 (+30.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -14.6 (+5.6) | 138.7 (+28.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -13.9 (+4.9) | 138.6 (+28.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | MOST 71 – 54 EVAN |
| Dec 29, 2024 | EVAN 57 – 40 MOST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MOST 74 – 64 EVAN |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MOST 90 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MOST 66 – 60 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#317) | 8.8 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#324) | 0.97 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#307) | 1.50 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#328) | 0.550 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 27.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 4.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 14.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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