Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -190 EVAN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +17 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -4.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -4.9 (+12.1) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -3.9 (+13.1) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -3.1 (+13.9) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -3.7 (+13.3) | 135.4 (-10.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | EVAN 57 – 40 MOST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MOST 74 – 64 EVAN |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MOST 90 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MOST 66 – 60 EVAN |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MOST 85 – 62 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#230) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#272) | -0.65 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#237) | -0.75 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#288) | 0.467 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.