Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +175 MOST -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +17 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -7.5 (+24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-44.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -7.5 (+24.5) | 135.9 (-38.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -7.0 (+24.0) | 137.8 (-40.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -7.1 (+24.1) | 139.3 (-42.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -7.1 (+24.1) | 138.8 (-41.8) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | MOST 71 – 54 EVAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MOST 74 – 64 EVAN |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MOST 90 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MOST 66 – 60 EVAN |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MOST 85 – 62 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-18 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#346) | -0.6 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#336) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#334) | 0.10 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#342) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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