Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -200 WAG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -2.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -0.6 (+8.6) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -1.4 (+9.4) | 154.3 (-6.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -1.1 (+9.1) | 155.7 (-7.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -1.9 (+9.9) | 155.4 (-7.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2022 | BRY 70 – 43 WAG |
| Jan 7, 2022 | WAG 84 – 81 BRY |
| Dec 17, 2020 | BRY 81 – 75 WAG |
| Dec 16, 2020 | BRY 74 – 62 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#233) | 2.0 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#210) | 0.81 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#213) | 0.97 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#166) | 0.538 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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