Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WAG -360 BRY +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -20.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -12.6 (-9.6) | 144.4 (+20.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -16.0 (-13.0) | 142.5 (+22.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -18.0 (-15.0) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -17.6 (-14.6) | 143.6 (+21.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2022 | BRY 70 – 43 WAG |
| Feb 26, 2022 | BRY 78 – 70 WAG |
| Dec 17, 2020 | BRY 81 – 75 WAG |
| Dec 16, 2020 | BRY 74 – 62 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 13-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#46) | -6.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#40) | -0.90 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#43) | -0.89 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#63) | 0.457 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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