Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | BRY -700 WAG +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -23.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -16.2 (-4.2) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -19.5 (-7.5) | 147.2 (-11.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -16.7 (-4.7) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2022 | BRY 70 – 43 WAG |
| Feb 26, 2022 | BRY 78 – 70 WAG |
| Jan 7, 2022 | WAG 84 – 81 BRY |
| Dec 17, 2020 | BRY 81 – 75 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#47) | -9.0 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#71) | -0.39 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#63) | -0.30 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#95) | 0.419 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 27.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 15.0% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 29.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 72.1% |
Game Analysis
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