You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Bryant Bulldogs
81 – 75
FINAL Conference
Wagner Seahawks
Northeast Conference · Chace Athletic Center · December 17, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -6.5 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRY win
Actual BRY +6 156 Won
Massey BRY -17.2 (-11.2) — —
Massey Totals — 145.9 (+10.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRY -9.6 (-3.6) 140.0 (+16.0) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -11.9 (-5.9) 142.8 (+13.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML BRY -13.3 (-7.3) 143.8 (+12.2) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BRY -10.8 (-4.8) 142.5 (+13.5) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2022 BRY 70 – 43 WAG
Feb 26, 2022 BRY 78 – 70 WAG
Jan 7, 2022 WAG 84 – 81 BRY
Dec 16, 2020 BRY 74 – 62 WAG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRY WAG
Overall 15-7 13-7
Conference 10-4 13-5
Home 10-1 7-3
Away 5-5 6-4
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 0-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 81.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 75.3 68.7
Massey 5.5 (#88) -6.4 (#255)
Bradley-Terry 0.91 (#102) -0.86 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#125) -1.30 (#212)
RPI 0.470 (#187) 0.386 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors BRY WAG
FG% 46.4% 33.1%
3PT% 42.2% 17.0%
REB / G 40.0 38.0
OREB / G 10.0 19.0
AST / TO 0.97 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 36.1%
TOV% 19.0% 20.3%
ORB% 26.8% 40.0%
FT Rate 29.7% 8.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 58.0%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 22.0%
DRB% 65.5% 76.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 58.6%

Game Analysis

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